Argentina 2035 Debt, BRL vs. CLP Among UBS Top EM Trades for ‘26

Nov. 13, 2025, 6:48 PM UTC

UBS strategists are recommending clients go long on Argentina’s 2035 dollar bonds as President Javier Milei’s midterm victory improves the likelihood of reforms and credit-rating upgrades.

  • See rally on 2035s lowering yields to 8.3% from 9.5%, strategists led by Manik Narain wrote in a note Wednesday; stop-loss set at 10.3%
    • Argentina’s default risk is contained amid strong US support and potentially a return to global markets next year
    • Firm sees 2026 GDP growth at 5% and inflation dropping to 17% in 2026 from about 30% this year
  • In Latin America, strategists also recommend betting on Brazil’s real against Chile’s peso; ...





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