Unusual Polymarket Bets on Peace Prize Winner Spur Probe (1)

Norwegian officials in charge of awarding the Nobel Peace Prize are investigating information that online bets on this year’s recipient surged overnight, suggesting a potential leak of information.

Bets for Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who was awarded the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for fighting for democracy, spiked at the Polymarket betting site shortly after midnight Norwegian time, according to the information on its website. The secretive five-member committee had made a decision on Monday, according to local media reports.

The Polymarket website.

“We take this very seriously,” Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute, said by phone. ...