Bet Against Christ’s Return Pays 5.5% Annual Gain on Polymarket

Alas, Jesus Christ did not return to Earth in 2025. This might not come as particularly surprising or noteworthy to most people. But for a certain crowd of bettors, it was terrific news.

There are any number of random, oddball bets offered on the prediction market Polymarket, though few are quite as curious as the “Will Jesus Christ Return in 2025?” wager. Some $3.3 million was placed on the bet over the course of the year. Most of that money, of course, came in on “No” and yet there were strong-enough believers among the Polymarket crowd, it turns ...