Reeves to Break Fiscal Rules Ahead of Next Budget, NIESR Warns

May 7, 2025, 11:01 PM UTC

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is on track to miss both her fiscal rules by tens of billions of pounds in the UK’s autumn budget, according to a prominent economic think tank, leaving her no option but to raise taxes or cut spending.

Slower growth and weak tax receipts will leave the Labour chancellor £57 billion ($76 billion) short on her main stability rule that taxes must cover all day-to-day spending by 2029-30, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research said Thursday. It also forecast that she would be £24.9 billion short on her investment rule to have ...

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